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Russia – China

The Cold War is not over. It continues now as Hot War. After Lenin and Stalin, Russia challenges again Europe and the West with Putin. In the Cold War, Russia had the Soviet Union. In the Hot War, Russia has the alliance with China. Wars are national but also ideological and political (and economic). They are also geopolitical. Lenin was selling the international story of communism, which was a political movement in Russia and worldwide. Putin is selling the international story of post capitalism. He argues that the Western political and economic system is decadent, corrupt, historically outdated and hostile and he invites the developing countries to decouple from this system and join the new system. This new system Russia does not have practically to demonstrate, hence Ukraine. China does. This is the Chinese hybrid communism.

This is serious because in the contest between the U.S. – Europe allied forces and the China – Russia alliance, the winning party is the one, whose back have the developing countries, this meaning the world. The allied forces prevailed provisionally in the Cold War. In the Hot War, the power equations and dynamics are different. Putin and Russia have a powerful card in their political, geopolitical, ideological, economic and military play with the West. This card is Xi and China. And vice versa.

The contest in the Hot War is the same that was in the Cold War. This contest is about the world. The World is the prize and the World = the developing countries = the best system. So, the contest is about systems, it is systemic and systematic. In the Cold War this ideological and political contest was between communism and capitalism. In the Hot War it is between extremist capitalism and post capitalism (Putin) + hybrid communism (Xi). To win the world the contestants have powerful arguments about their system. Russia (Putin) says, fair and free. China (Xi), says functional.

This is important to Russia and China for national not only international reasons. However authoritarian and autocratic Putin and Xi still have to win politically their domestic (national) public.

In the Hot War the contest is as tight as it was in the Cold War, if not more. The West is aware of the deficiencies and handicaps of extremist capitalism and tries to correct them. This is not easy because the task is double, correct (the past) and develop (the future) concurrently (in the running present). Concurrently means with military (war) fronts open in Eastern Europe and the Middle East and with tension in the Far East and the Pacific. The U.S. and Japan (more) and Europe (less) strive to defend their systems and their derivative national security, territorial integrity, institutional stability and sovereign independence. As mentioned, the national and international conditions of the Hot War are markedly different than those of WWI, WWII and the Cold War. The current leaderships in the West face different challenges than those, which the past war leaderships faced. The challenges are political, geopolitical, economic, technological, ecological, social, institutional, ideological and military. The standard was always high and now higher. So is the stake, this meaning the world (people), who will finally determine the race and the play.

Finally, whatever happens, the world (people), this meaning Russia and China (people) also, will have seat and say in the table of world power and authority.

U.S. – Japan

Compliments. Outstanding.

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